Consequences of Climate Change
Without action, the world's average temperature is very likely to change more rapidly during the 21st century than during any natural variations over the past 10,000 years
Climate changes have occurred naturally in the past, and some regional changes have been significant. But globally, our climate has been relatively stable for the past 10,000 years.
The rate of global temperature change over the next 100 years will almost certainly be unlike anything human civilization has experienced before, if the world does not take action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Climate change is not just rising temperatures
Many countries might expect to see changes in wind patterns, storm tracks, occurrence of frosts, and the frequency of heavy rainfall events. These effects will become more pronounced as time goes on.
The effects of climate change will continue beyond 2100. Sea-levels will continue to rise for centuries after greenhouse gas concentrations have stabilized
The climate system takes time to change. In particular the deep oceans take centuries to heat up when the atmosphere above them warms. This means that oceans will continue to heat up, and therefore expand causing sea levels to rise, even if greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere are no longer increasing.
The climate system is very complex and there are still uncertainties about future climate changes
Future climate change depends on how much greenhouse gases are emitted in future (and hence on the development pathway of human society) and also how the Earth responds to the increased heating. So we cannot be precise about how much the climate will change in the future. We are generally sure of the direction of change (for example, the world will become warmer, and global average sea-levels will rise), and we can give plausible ranges for those changes (for example, the range of emissions looked at by the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)is expected to increase the world's average temperature by between 1.1 and 6.4 degrees Celsius by 2100).
To manage the wide-ranging risks resulting from climate change, we need to account for the full range of those possible outcomes. We cannot rely on only the best case scenario coming true - we need to be prepared for the other possible scenarios as well.
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